Time Sensitive

Time Sensitive is a 2018 chestnut mare by Nyquist out of Livi Makenzie, by Macho Uno. Her individual race record is limited: she was a 19-start maiden with 4 seconds, 3 thirds, $23,282 in earnings, a peak Equibase Speed Figure of 78, and a career median of 54. Her race record does not carry the mating commercially.

Her commercial foundation comes instead from a strong female family and useful physical carry. She is out of stakes-winning and Grade 2-placed Livi Makenzie and is a half-sister to multiple graded stakes winner Tawny Port, a $2 million-plus earner, and Grade 3-placed Broadway Lady. Immediate family auction history includes six-figure transactions at approximately $125,000, $300,000, $430,000, and $500,000.

Produce evidence is limited but positive. Her first living foal, Cartier Gold, was a $34,000 yearling RNA and later sold for $70,000 as a 2-year-old. More importantly, the advisor rates Time Sensitive's current Drain the Clock colt as an excellent physical. That mare-specific production evidence materially changes the interpretation of the broader Maclean's Music-line cross.

Female family: Strong. Time Sensitive's value is anchored by Livi Makenzie and the immediate family, not by Time Sensitive's own race record.

Livi Makenzie was a stakes winner and Grade 2-placed runner. Tawny Port is a multiple Grade 3 winner and $2 million-plus earner. Broadway Lady is Grade 3-placed. The immediate family has also produced multiple six-figure auction outcomes, giving the page real commercial legitimacy.

The family provides enough class and market credibility to support a commercially ambitious mating, but the stallion and resulting foal's physical still need to carry the weanling outcome.

Physical evidence confidence: Moderate-High (0.87). Time Sensitive is generally balanced and commercially presentable with a medium-to-good frame, strong shoulder, good hip length, deep body/rib, and useful substance.

Scorecard: overall balance 7.4; frame/scope 7.5; shoulder 7.8; neck 7.1; withers 6.8; back/topline 6.5; hip/pelvis 7.5; hind leg 6.8; pasterns 7.2; bone 6.9; feet 6.9 with limited evidence; body depth/rib 8.1; muscle/substance 7.4; commercial impression 7.4. Foreleg alignment and athleticism/walk had limited evidence.

The main structural limitation is length through the back/loin and softer coupling, combined with a somewhat low front end, only adequate bone, and a relatively straight hind leg. These are the traits the mating must not reinforce.

Jackie's Warrior is classified in the report as Useful, with mare-specific validation. The dashboard's 7.8 physical-match score is a presentation conversion of that qualitative judgment and the advisor's direct evidence from the excellent Drain the Clock colt; it is not a separate report-issued numeric mating score.

Minimum requirement: Useful Upgrade; Strong Upgrade preferred unless mare-specific production evidence offsets a theoretical concern.

Primary need: shorten and strengthen the back/coupling. Secondary needs: add front-end elevation and wither definition, add bone and structural authority, and protect Time Sensitive's shoulder, body depth/rib, hip length, and useful scope.

Do not reinforce: long or soft coupling, low front end, straight hind leg, light bone, or excessive body length.

The preferred type is a commercial dirt-speed or classic dirt stallion with balance, bone, shoulder, muscularity, and strong sale-ring presence.

Report-safe pedigree support: Useful and current. The breeding intent is not to maximize a nick score. It is to preserve a sire-line direction that has already produced an excellent physical for Time Sensitive, then upgrade the commercial strength of that direction.

Time Sensitive contributes Nyquist / Uncle Mo-line speed and a strong female family through Livi Makenzie. Jackie's Warrior contributes the Maclean's Music speed line, muscularity, and a recognizable commercial dirt identity. The expected commercial phenotype is a more powerful, sale-forward foal while retaining the mare's shoulder, rib, and useful scope.

No close duplication identified from the supplied sources was treated as a reason to reject the mating. The more important risk is phenotypic concentration in body/coupling length and straightness behind. The excellent Drain the Clock colt partially compensates for that theoretical concern.

Proprietary Werk evidence was used only as summarized pedigree support. Exact grades, variants, copied report language, full cross tables, and complete horse lists are intentionally not reproduced. For Jackie's Warrior, the report treats the broader cross evidence as supportive but not the primary reason for the mating.

TrueNicks information is summarized rather than reproduced. Current broad Maclean's Music / Indian Charlie-line evidence supports the direction, but the advisor gives greater weight to the mare-specific physical evidence from Time Sensitive's excellent Drain the Clock colt.

Stallion Match evidence is used only as report-safe support. The final decision does not depend on a proprietary match label. Physical fit, sire-stage value, fee fit, commercial demand, and the successful mare-specific physical pattern control the recommendation.

The AI-only ranking favored Elite Power before advisor override. Elite Power offered the strongest initial balance of recent weanling demand, summarized pedigree support, fee fit, and acceptable physical improvement. Forte and Violence were the next strongest data-supported alternatives, while Blame remained the physical benchmark but was less attractive for the preferred weanling exit.

The advisor selected Jackie's Warrior because Time Sensitive's current Drain the Clock colt is an excellent physical. Drain the Clock and Jackie's Warrior come from the same broader Maclean's Music sire-line direction, so the existing colt provides direct mare-specific evidence that partially offsets generic concerns about body/coupling length and hind-leg straightness.

Jackie's Warrior is therefore being used as a higher-end commercial upgrade of a cross direction that has already worked physically, not as a completely new experiment.

Final Decision: Jackie's Warrior.

The decisive evidence is the excellent physical of Time Sensitive's Drain the Clock colt. That foal demonstrates that Time Sensitive can produce a high-quality individual from the broader Maclean's Music sire-line direction. Jackie's Warrior is a logical commercial upgrade of that proven direction rather than a completely new experiment.

Commercially, Jackie's Warrior's $25,000 fee sits inside Time Sensitive's preferred $20,000–$35,000 zone. Supplied 2025 data shows 25 weanlings averaging $130,740 with a $110,000 median. At the report's default $40,000 weanling cost basis, the mating has meaningful absolute-dollar room.

The physical cross is not theoretically perfect. Both mare and stallion can show some body/coupling length and relative straightness behind. Those risks remain and are classified as partially compensated, not fully compensated. The direct Drain the Clock colt evidence is why the advisor accepts the overlap.

Preferred exit: Weanling. The selected $25,000 stud fee is inside Time Sensitive's target $20,000–$35,000 fee range. The report's default weanling cost is $40,000 and default yearling cost is $55,000.

Jackie's Warrior's supplied 2025 weanling benchmark is $130,740 average and $110,000 median from 25 sold. His 2025 yearlings averaged $216,101 with a $155,000 median, but supplied 2026 yearlings repriced sharply to a $62,591 average and $50,000 median. That volatility reinforces the preference to sell as a weanling when the foal presents commercially.

The report models Time Sensitive's weanling gross at $70,000–$125,000, with an illustrative profit range of $30,000–$85,000 before taxes and commissions beyond the assumed carrying cost. The modeled yearling gross is $80,000–$135,000, but the yearling hold adds approximately $15,000 in default cost and materially increases sire-stage and market-repricing exposure.

For dashboard planning, the commercial floor is set at $40,000, likely low at $70,000, most likely at $100,000, likely high at $125,000, and commercial ceiling at $200,000+. The report itself frames downside at $35,000–$50,000, expected gross at $70,000–$125,000, and upside at $150,000–$200,000+.

Risk position: Partially Compensated. Overall risk: Moderate.

Physical risk is Moderate because Time Sensitive and Jackie's Warrior can both show body/coupling length and relative straightness behind. The excellent Drain the Clock colt from the same broader sire-line direction partially compensates that risk.

Mare-carry risk is Moderate because Time Sensitive has a strong family but was a maiden and still has limited produce proof. Commercial risk is Moderate because a below-average weanling can fall near or below the approximately $40,000 default cost basis. Sire-stage risk is Moderate because Jackie's Warrior's market can reprice as runners define his long-term value. Timing/market risk is also Moderate for the 2027–2028 sale cycle.

The primary mitigation is disciplined exit timing: use current sire demand, inspect the foal closely, and target a weanling sale if the individual presents commercially.